Rising sea level claim retracted reported an article in The Guardian, 21 February 2010 and Nature Geoscience, published online, 21 February 2010.
In July 2009 a group of scientists led by Mark Siddall, of Earth Sciences Department, University of Bristol, UK published a report that predicted global warming could cause to rise by between 7cm and 82cm by the end of the century. (Nature Geoscience, 25 July 2009) Although the report admitted: “It is difficult to project sea-level rise in response to warming climates by the end of the century, especially because the response of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets to warming is not well understood,” the study was considered further confirmation of the IPCC’s warnings about sea level rises due to man-made global warming.
Following critiques by other climate scientists Siddall’s team have now formally retracted their report, saying: “Since publication of our paper we have become aware of two mistakes which impact the detailed estimation of future sea level rise. This means that we can no longer draw firm conclusions regarding 21st century sea level rise from this study without further work. One mistake was a miscalculation; the other was not to allow fully for temperature change over the past 2,000 years. Because of these issues we have retracted the paper and will now invest in the further work needed to correct these mistakes.”
Other scientists have estimated sea level rises may be even higher that Sidall’s team’s calculations, but Sidall says he does not know whether his estimate was an overestimate or underestimate.
Editorial Comment: Did you notice how many unknowns are involved in these estimates? The number of things scientists admit they don’t know refutes the claims by global warming alarmists that “the science is settled.”
Most of the warnings in the IPCC reports are based on computer models like the one used here to estimate sea level rises. The more unknown factors in a model, the less reliable it is. If we don’t understand something, we certainly can’t control it, and it is about time the climate science community admitted that.
They also need to show a little humility and admit there are some forces in nature we are never going to be able to control, such as the sun or earthquakes. The sun is the source of most of the heat on the earth, and earthquakes affect sea-levels from the bottom up.
This does not mean we should not study them. We should, in order that we might seek to understand the patterns and cycles that the Creator put into nature in the beginning, and then live as best we can within them.
But most of all we should put our trust in the Creator God who spoke the earth and the universe into existence, and can call for the water to be poured out on the land, as He did in the time of Noah, or for the storm to stop, as Jesus, who is this same Creator God, did in a boat on the Sea of Galilee.
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