Global warming stopped in 1997, and official UK Met Bureau graphs released in October 2012 prove it. According to an article in Daily Mail 13 October 2012, new figures released by the UK Met Office show that the increase in global temperatures in the late 20th century stopped in 1997 and has plateaued since then. This means the plateau is almost as long as the period of warming that occurred from 1980 to 1996.

The data collected on global temperature is called Hadcrut 4, a name derived from the words ‘Hadley Centre’ (run by the Met Office) mixed with ‘Climatic Research Unit’ (CRU) based at the University of East Anglia. The CRU is headed by Phil Jones, and is better known for the “climategate” e-mail leak that occurred in 2009. In one of the leaked e-mails Jones wrote: “Bottom line: the ‘no upward trend’ has to continue for a total of 15 years before we get worried.” The 15 years are now up, but Jones is sticking to the climate models that predict continued warming. He said: “I still think that the current decade which began in 2010 will be warmer by about 0.17 degrees than the previous one, which was warmer than the Nineties.”

 However, Professor Judith Curry, chair of the School of Earth and Atmospheric Science at Georgia Tech University in USA, is not so certain about climate models. She commented: “Climate models are very complex, but they are imperfect and incomplete. Natural variability has been shown over the past two decades to have a magnitude that dominates the greenhouse warming effect. It is becoming increasingly apparent that our attribution of warming since 1980 and future projections of climate change needs to consider natural internal variability as a factor of fundamental importance.” Natural variability includes factors such as long-term temperature cycles in the oceans and the output of the sun.

In spite of his commitment to models Phil Jones has also admitted past climate models were imperfect. He commented: “We don’t fully understand how to input things like changes in the oceans, and because we don’t fully understand it you could say that natural variability is now working to suppress the warming. We don’t know what natural variability is doing.”

David Rose, who wrote the Daily Mail article commented: “The most depressing feature of this debate is that anyone who questions the alarmist, doomsday scenario will automatically be labelled a climate change ‘denier’, and accused of jeopardising the future of humanity.”

Daily Mail, Hadcrut4 graphs, Judith Curry Blog

Editorial Comment: No, you didn’t hear this from the ABC, the BBC, Julia Gillard (Australian Prime Minister), and most major newspapers have ignored it, as have the greens who want you taxed out of existence for something that isn’t happening.

Yes, the climate gurus are finally reluctantly confirming what we have been saying for years on this site, i.e. the sun and the oceans influence the climate more than the amount of man-made carbon dioxide in the air, and we need to be studying them if want to understand climate variations. This is bad news for politicians and bureaucrats who think they can change the climate with taxes and regulations on industry and transport, as these don’t make any difference to the sun and oceans.

The variations in climate that have been measured since we have had the technology to make and collate accurate measurements of weather conditions all over the world have only confirmed the promise made by God following Noah’s flood: “While the earth remains, seedtime and harvest, cold and heat, winter and summer, And day and night shall not cease.” (Genesis 8:22). We predict that since the earth is still here, such variations in climate will continue until the world comes to an end when Christ the Creator returns to judge the world.

Evidence News 18 October 2012

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