Rain Cloud

40 year Aussie rain cycles found, according University of Newcastle News and Australasian Journal of Water Resources doi: 10.1080/13241583.2018.1446677, 18 March 2018.

Researchers at the University of Newcastle, Australia, Anthony Kiem and Greg McMahon, have carried out a survey historical flood date from 10 catchment areas in South East Queensland. Their work extended a study that was carried out in the 1980s by a group of engineers, after south east Queensland had experienced a bout of severe flooding in 1974.

Kiem explained: “The engineers in the 1980s noticed that large flooding events seemed to follow a 40-year cycle comprised of 5-year periods of high flood risk separated by 35 years of lower flood risk. Based on these findings, they speculated that the next significant ‘1974 flood’ would happen around 2013. This was realised with large flood events in South East Queensland in January 2011 and 2013.”

Kiem and McMahon’s study of more data confirmed the 40 year cycle. After analysing their data, and making use of recent studies of the atmosphere and oceans, they concluded: “Our work further confirms that the floods in South East Queensland are unlikely to be random, and that large-scale ocean-atmospheric processes like the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) provide at least part of the explanation for this.”

The researchers hope their findings will help with better planning for flood protection and flood evacuation infrastructure.

University of Newcastle

Editorial Comment: Yet the politicians are busy blaming all natural disasters on man-made carbon emission, and planning more regulations and taxes which don’t happen in 40 year cycles.

Now we have a good example of the proper use of climate science, with a good application, i.e. setting up the practical infrastructure to deal with floods. Scientists have actually looked at the real data collected by the people who lived through the events and recorded them.  The researchers have found it relates to phenomena that no politician or environment activist can ever cause or control.  El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) refer to large scale changes in the oceans, which influence the winds and ocean currents, and therefore the cloud and rainfall patterns.

We do need to care for the environment that God the Creator has given us. That was, and still is, part of the mandate given to mankind to exercise dominion over all the earth, remembering that dominion means wise stewardship, not mindless exploitation.  However, we also need to be humble enough to acknowledge there are large scale forces that only God can control, and therefore look to Him to use them for His purposes of blessing and judgement.

Evidence News vol. 18, No. 3
11 April 2018
Creation Research Australia

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